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The Cognitive Demand Index v1.0 ranks 100 US occupations by cognitive demand using four O*NET ability scores. Judges score highest (CDI 84.5); pay tracks poorly with cognitive demand throughout the ranking.
"I view this as the most important paper of my career." That is Paul R. Sackett of the University of Minnesota, describing his 2022 Journal of Applied Psychology meta-analysis that revised the field's headline statistic on cognitive ability and job performance. The widely cited Schmidt-Hunter coefficient of r = 0.51 was, Sackett and his co-authors showed, inflated by an over-aggressive correction for restriction of range. Corrected, the operational validity is closer to r = 0.31, still the strongest single non-test predictor of job performance, but a more honest number.
That correction did not disprove cognitive ability's predictive power. It clarified its scale. And it sharpened a question we set out to answer with data: across the US labor market, where is cognitive horsepower actually demanded? Which jobs require the most reasoning, problem-solving, and inductive pattern recognition? And what do those jobs pay?
We built the Cognitive Demand Index (CDI v1.0) to answer that question with a transparent, reproducible artifact. The CDI ranks 100 US occupations on a 0–100 composite drawn from four O*NET cognitive descriptors, then pairs each rank with BLS May 2025 median wages. The full dataset is available as an open CSV for journalists, researchers, and anyone curious enough to sort it themselves.
data_notes column.
The CDI is a single 0–100 composite score per occupation, built from four cognitive descriptors that the US Department of Labor's O*NET database tracks for every job in the American economy. Each descriptor is rated on a 0–100 importance scale by trained occupational analysts and incumbent workers.
The four descriptors are: Critical Thinking (using logic to evaluate alternative solutions), Inductive Reasoning (combining information to form general rules), Deductive Reasoning (applying general rules to specific problems), and Complex Problem Solving (identifying complex problems and developing options). Together they tap overlapping but distinct facets of the general factor g, the part of cognitive ability that predicts performance most consistently across roles.
The CDI is deliberately narrow. It is not an IQ test for jobs. It is a ranking of how central reasoning and complex problem-solving are to the day-to-day work, as those abilities are described by the people who do the work and the analysts who study them.

The formula, stated plainly. The CDI composite is the arithmetic mean of the four O*NET importance scores: (Critical Thinking + Inductive Reasoning + Deductive Reasoning + Complex Problem Solving) ÷ 4. Equal weights. No hidden adjustments. The math is in the open CSV so anyone can recompute or re-weight.
Sensitivity analysis. Under three alternative weighting schemes (equal-weight, reasoning-heavy at 60% weight on the two reasoning abilities, and problem-solving-heavy at 50% weight on Complex Problem Solving), the top 20 occupations remained stable in 18+ of 20 positions. The bottom 20 also remained stable. The composite is robust to weighting choice.
Data integrity disclosure: single unified dataset. The CDI v1.0 is one open CSV covering all 100 occupations. Every wage is the BLS OEWS May 2025 national median for the SOC code named in that row's data_notes, read from the published national file oesm25nat/national_M2025_dl.xlsx. Eighty-seven rows use their own detailed SOC; thirteen are ONET specialisations that OEWS does not price separately (the five physician specialties under 29-1229, both neuropsychology rows under 19-3039, and six others) and carry their parent SOC's median, named per row. Importance scores are a two-tier provenance: for 44 rows all four scores were retrieved directly from live ONET OnLine occupation detail pages (data_notes column says "ONET direct"); for the remaining 56 rows one or more importance scores are estimated from comparable occupation profiles (data_notes says "ONET direct (partial)" or "Importance estimated"). Every row is individually flagged; download the CSV to see the full provenance. CDI v1.1 will replace estimated rows with values from the full O*NET database (db_28_3_text.zip at onetcenter.org).
The re-scoring process changed the ranking: that is the point. When we cross-checked our initial estimates against live O*NET data, pathologists fell from a Phase-1 estimate of composite 86.3 to a verified 75.8, a ten-point drop from estimated rank #2 to rank #27. Estimates applied a "prestige halo" that overstated reasoning demand for high-status roles. The CDI corrects that direction: pathologists are cognitively demanding (CDI 75.8), but not the apex the halo suggested.
One known gap: surgeons. The SOC code 29-1067.00 ("Surgeons") was retired in the 2018 SOC update. Its replacement, 29-1249.00 "Surgeons, All Other," currently has no O*NET ability data. Named surgical specialties appear in the dataset: Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons (CDI 75.0, rank 33) and others; the generic "surgeons" category does not appear in the 100-occupation index.
Wage data and its limits. All wages are BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) May 2025 national, released 30 April 2026, and every row is the same statistic: the annual median (A_MEDIAN). No means are substituted anywhere in the table, so physician and non-physician rows are directly comparable.
That is a change from earlier versions of this page. Through the May 2024 release, OEWS suppressed any percentile at or above $239,200 per year, so physician specialties had no published median and this index reported their mean instead. The May 2025 release publishes real medians for those occupations — anesthesiologists at $391,490, radiologists at $420,860 — and the substitution is no longer needed.
Worth naming, because it cuts against the usual assumption: for these physician specialties the median comes in above the mean, not below it. Anesthesiologists show a $391,490 median against a $360,570 mean; radiologists $420,860 against $381,530. Physician pay is not right-skewed at the top so much as dragged down at the bottom, by residents, part-year practice, and part-time schedules that sit in the same occupational code. The mean figures this page used to publish therefore understated the typical physician rather than overstating them, and the two sets of numbers should not be compared with each other — cite the May 2025 medians.
Two limits worth naming. First, O*NET importance ratings reflect perceived cognitive demand from incumbents and analysts, not direct measurement of cognitive load. Second, BLS median wages are single points on broad distributions, particularly compressed for tech and finance, where total compensation (equity, bonus) often runs 1.5–4× base. Both caveats are reasons to read the CDI as one input, not a verdict.
The composite intentionally excludes several capacities that are central to many essential occupations:
A low CDI does not mean a job is easy, unimportant, or poorly performed. It means the four reasoning abilities the index measures are not the dominant cognitive demand of the role. Many roles with modest CDI scores are physically grueling, emotionally taxing, or require exactly the social and motor cognition the index leaves out.
The CDI is built on the same O*NET ability constructs (Inductive Reasoning, Complex Problem Solving) that underpin our adaptive cognitive assessment. If you want to see how your own profile lines up with the abilities the CDI is built from before reading the table, that is what the assessment provides: a percentile snapshot, not a career oracle. The Cognitive Strength Finder is a lighter alternative for readers who want a quick read on which of the four abilities they lean on most.
A defensible map of your reasoning profile against the same O*NET-aligned abilities the CDI is built from. About 25 minutes.
Sorted descending by CDI composite. Wages are BLS OEWS May 2025 national median annual, the same statistic in every row. Full CT / IR / DR / CPS subscores and per-row provenance are in the open CSV. To drill into a single profession's typical IQ range, see the IQ-for-Profession lookup tool.
| CDI | BLS 2025 Median | |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Judges Magistrate Judges and Magistrates | 84.5 | $153,990 |
| 2. Emergency Medicine Physicians | 81.5 | $335,550 |
| 3. Anesthesiologists | 80.8 | $391,490 |
| 4. Preventive Medicine Physicians | 79.8 | $265,930 |
| 5. Lawyers | 79.0 | $159,670 |
| 6. Chief Executives | 78.5 | $213,990 |
| 7. Air Traffic Controllers | 78.3 | $148,080 |
| 8. Neurologists | 78.3 | $248,560 |
| 9. Clinical Neuropsychologists | 77.5 | $110,840 |
| 10. Obstetricians and Gynecologists | 77.5 | $292,910 |
| 11. Biochemists and Biophysicists | 77.3 | $127,410 |
| 12. Epidemiologists | 77.3 | $87,220 |
| 13. Survey Researchers | 77.3 | $69,460 |
| 14. Urologists | 77.3 | $265,930 |
| 15. Radiologists | 76.8 | $420,860 |
| 16. Business Continuity Planners | 76.5 | $83,050 |
| 17. Neuropsychologists | 76.5 | $110,840 |
| 18. Operations Research Analysts | 76.5 | $88,940 |
| 19. Actuaries | 75.8 | $130,000 |
| 20. Chemical Engineers | 75.8 | $125,040 |
| 21. Dentists General | 75.8 | $170,950 |
| 22. General Internal Medicine Physicians | 75.8 | $256,560 |
| 23. Hospitalists | 75.8 | $265,930 |
| 24. Marine Engineers and Naval Architects | 75.8 | $112,230 |
| 25. Nuclear Engineers | 75.8 | $133,970 |
| 26. Ophthalmologists Except Pediatric | 75.8 | $300,080 |
| 27. Pathologists | 75.8 | $312,400 |
| 28. Pediatricians General | 75.8 | $210,040 |
| 29. Administrative Law Judges Adjudicators and Hearing Officers | 75.0 | $117,860 |
| 30. Aerospace Engineers | 75.0 | $134,960 |
| 31. Biostatisticians | 75.0 | $105,650 |
| 32. Mathematicians | 75.0 | $126,710 |
| 33. Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons | 75.0 | $352,220 |
| 34. Psychiatrists | 75.0 | $281,870 |
| 35. Detectives and Criminal Investigators | 74.3 | $93,790 |
| 36. Environmental Scientists and Specialists | 74.3 | $82,220 |
| 37. Sports Medicine Physicians | 74.3 | $265,930 |
| 38. Data Scientists | 73.5 | $120,230 |
| 39. Emergency Management Directors | 73.5 | $93,330 |
| 40. Management Analysts | 73.5 | $101,860 |
| 41. Remote Sensing Scientists and Technologists | 73.5 | $122,570 |
| 42. Biologists | 72.8 | $98,920 |
| 43. Petroleum Engineers | 72.8 | $144,910 |
| 44. Allergists and Immunologists | 72.5 | $265,930 |
| 45. Computer and Information Systems Managers | 72.0 | $175,140 |
| 46. Medical and Health Services Managers | 72.0 | $123,860 |
| 47. Podiatrists | 72.0 | $160,300 |
| 48. Statisticians | 72.0 | $105,650 |
| 49. Veterinarians | 72.0 | $130,100 |
| 50. Clinical and Counseling Psychologists | 71.3 | $100,580 |
| 51. Financial Managers | 71.3 | $166,570 |
| 52. Information Security Analysts | 70.5 | $129,180 |
| 53. Registered Nurses | 70.5 | $97,550 |
| 54. Pharmacists | 69.8 | $140,910 |
| 55. Physical Therapists | 69.8 | $102,760 |
| 56. Compliance Officers | 68.3 | $80,730 |
| 57. Financial Analysts | 68.3 | $102,740 |
| 58. General and Operations Managers | 67.5 | $105,770 |
| 59. High School Teachers | 67.5 | $72,040 |
| 60. Postsecondary Teachers | 67.5 | $82,250 |
| 61. Construction Managers | 66.8 | $114,990 |
| 62. Police and Sheriffs Patrol Officers | 66.8 | $76,210 |
| 63. Software Developers | 66.8 | $135,980 |
| 64. Accountants and Auditors | 66.0 | $83,680 |
| 65. Computer Systems Analysts | 66.0 | $105,850 |
| 66. Logisticians | 65.3 | $82,320 |
| 67. Insurance Underwriters | 64.5 | $81,370 |
| 68. Sales Representatives Wholesale and Manufacturing Technical and Scientific Products | 64.5 | $104,920 |
| 69. Elementary School Teachers | 63.8 | $63,970 |
| 70. Cost Estimators | 63.0 | $78,740 |
| 71. Healthcare Social Workers | 63.0 | $67,880 |
| 72. Social Workers Child Family and School | 63.0 | $59,550 |
| 73. Firefighters | 61.5 | $59,280 |
| 74. Writers and Authors | 60.5 | $76,910 |
| 75. Environmental Engineering Technicians | 60.0 | $59,920 |
| 76. Electricians | 59.8 | $63,190 |
| 77. Graphic Designers | 59.8 | $62,960 |
| 78. Real Estate Brokers | 58.3 | $73,220 |
| 79. Food Service Managers | 54.0 | $69,390 |
| 80. Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics | 53.8 | $50,620 |
| 81. Chefs and Head Cooks | 53.0 | $62,470 |
| 82. Plumbers Pipefitters and Steamfitters | 53.0 | $63,800 |
| 83. Retail Salespersons First-Line Supervisors | 51.5 | $48,520 |
| 84. Retail Salespersons | 49.3 | $35,410 |
| 85. Administrative Assistants Executive | 47.8 | $76,590 |
| 86. Customer Service Representatives | 47.0 | $44,770 |
| 87. Bookkeeping Accounting and Auditing Clerks | 46.3 | $50,670 |
| 88. Truck Drivers Heavy and Tractor-Trailer | 44.8 | $58,640 |
| 89. Office Clerks General | 44.0 | $45,010 |
| 90. Home Health and Personal Care Aides | 41.0 | $35,800 |
| 91. Cashiers | 39.5 | $32,880 |
| 92. Construction Laborers | 38.8 | $47,120 |
| 93. Food Preparation Workers | 38.8 | $35,320 |
| 94. Stock Clerks and Order Fillers | 38.8 | $37,330 |
| 95. Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers | 38.0 | $39,150 |
| 96. Janitors and Cleaners | 36.5 | $36,840 |
| 97. Fast Food and Counter Workers | 32.8 | $31,200 |
| 98. Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners | 32.8 | $35,510 |
| 99. Dishwashers | 29.8 | $34,810 |
| 100. Packers and Packagers Hand | 27.5 | $36,280 |
If your current role sits at CDI 70+, you are in cognitively dense territory: most of the four reasoning abilities O*NET tracks are central to what you do daily. Below 60 isn't a verdict on skill; it means the work leans on capacities the CDI doesn't measure (motor cognition, social cognition, accumulated domain expertise). Most US occupations cluster between 50 and 70.

Judges sit at the top of the CDI for a reason that surprised us. Their Critical Thinking importance score is 97 out of 100, the highest in the 100-occupation dataset, matched only by a handful of occupations across the broader O*NET database. They outrank pathologists (78), anesthesiologists (88), neurologists (78), and every engineer in the dataset. Their Deductive Reasoning importance of 91 leads all non-medical occupations.
The pay does not follow. Median annual wage for federal and state judges in BLS OEWS May 2025 is $153,990. Anesthesiologists, whose CDI (80.8) sits within four points of judges' 84.5, have a median of $391,490 for work that demands roughly the same cognitive load, a 154% pay gap on cognitively comparable output. Both figures are medians from the same release, so the comparison is like for like.
Why? Market structure. Anesthesiology pay is set by hospital fee schedules, payer reimbursement, and a tightly capped supply of credentialed practitioners. Judicial pay is set by legislative budgets and constitutional cap. Cognitively equivalent work, paid at radically different rates: the anesthesiologist earns 2.5× the judge. The CDI makes that gap legible.
Software developers sit at a CDI composite of about 67, solidly above average and well below physicians and judges. The BLS May 2025 median wage is $135,980. By the CDI / wage pairing, software looks like a respectable mid-pack profession.
That picture is wrong at the ceiling. Levels.fyi 2024 reports a market-median total compensation of $191,000 for software developers, already 40% above BLS. At senior FAANG levels (L4/L5), median total comp ranges from $350,000 to $495,000. Cardiac surgeons and neurosurgeons are the only roles that reliably exceed senior FAANG total comp.
The mechanism is equity. BLS OEWS captures base wages from establishment surveys. It does not capture restricted stock units, signing bonuses, or annual performance bonuses, which often double or triple base for tech-company engineers. The CDI score is honest about the cognitive demand of the median software role. It cannot tell you about the pay distribution's right tail, which is where the modal Hacker News commenter actually lives.
The general lesson: cognitive demand predicts the floor of a profession's pay better than the ceiling. Where the ceiling is set by market scarcity, equity, and bargaining power, no O*NET-derived index will track it.
Air traffic controllers carry a CDI composite of 78.3 (comparable to mid-pack physicians and engineers) and a 2025 median wage of $148,080. Per "unit" of cognitive demand, that is roughly the pay of lawyers ($159,670 / CDI 79.0) and ahead of financial managers ($166,570 / CDI 71.3) and software developers ($135,980 / CDI 66.8) on the same metric.
What's unusual about ATC: the role does not require a four-year degree. It requires passing the FAA Academy and a battery of cognitive screens. The pay premium comes from operational liability, 24/7 staffing demand, and federal hiring scarcity, not from credential-stacking. It is one of the few US roles where someone without a bachelor's degree can command near-physician wages on the basis of measured cognitive ability and on-the-job decision-making under pressure. If the CDI / pay coupling broke cleanly anywhere, it broke here.
This is the loudest objection to any "IQ by occupation" piece, and it deserves a direct answer. The objection has two parts: (1) cognitive ability tests show adverse impact across demographic groups, so any ranking built on them launders discrimination, and (2) such rankings invite employers to use cognitive tests as gatekeepers, amplifying the inequality.
The 2024 Journal of Applied Psychology paper by Berry, Lievens, Zhang, and Sackett offers the most useful response. They re-examined whether dropping cognitive ability tests from selection batteries reduces adverse impact, and concluded that "excluding GMA tests generally has little to no effect on validity, but substantially decreases adverse impact," yet "contrary to popular belief, GMA tests are not a driving factor in the validity-diversity trade-off." In plain language: cognitive tests are not the main lever. Other selection methods (especially unstructured interviews) carry comparable adverse impact at lower predictive validity.
Filip Lievens of Singapore Management University, a co-author on both the 2022 and 2024 papers, frames the implication this way: cognitive demand rankings are descriptive data about occupations, not prescriptions for hiring. The CDI tells you what reasoning abilities a role draws on. It does not tell employers to use a cognitive test as the gate, nor does it tell job-seekers their score determines their fit. Those are downstream policy decisions, not what the data says.
We take that distinction seriously. The CDI is published as an occupational map, not a hiring tool.

The career advice that fell out of the 1990s, get a high-cognitive-demand job and you'll be safe, collides with what the data on AI exposure now shows. Mark Muro at Brookings Metro found in his 2019 analysis (updated through 2023) that "better-paid, better-educated workers face the most exposure" to current AI capabilities, with workers holding graduate degrees facing roughly four times the exposure of high-school-only workers. The CDI's top deciles are not insulated from AI. They are the front line.
David Autor, Ford Professor of Economics at MIT, frames the dynamic more precisely. Writing in Issues in Science and Technology in 2024, Autor argued: "The concern is about devaluation of expertise. Language translation is a very high-level cognitive skill, but now we have machines that can do it pretty well." Translation, contract review, radiology image triage, and code completion are the cognitive operations AI handles best, concentrated in roles the CDI scores high.
That does not mean the high-CDI jobs vanish. It means the market value of specific cognitive skills will move. Jobs the CDI ranks high because they require pattern recognition over text or images face the steepest re-pricing pressure. Jobs that require pattern recognition layered with motor cognition, emotional cognition, or fast operational decisions under physical risk (surgery, ATC, emergency medicine, clinical neuropsychology) sit on a slower clock.
For someone like Ronald, pivoting out of a cognitively demanding role rather than into one, this reframes the risk: the cognitive intensity of his last job is part of why it was exposed, not protection against re-pricing. Our forward-looking read on how AI is reshaping hiring around critical thinking sits alongside this index as the companion piece.
The CDI v1.0 is not a career oracle. It is a sortable data artifact for three audiences: career switchers who want a clearer picture than the next "highest-IQ jobs" listicle (and who can pair the rankings here with actual IQ-matched job listings); journalists who need a citable composite with transparent methodology; and researchers who want to extend or critique the formula. The full 100-occupation dataset (BLS wages verified for every row, importance scores O*NET-direct for 44 rows and per-row-flagged for the remaining 56) is published as an open CSV for download.
We will publish v1.1 once the full O*NET database (db_28_3_text.zip) replaces the estimated rows with directly retrieved scores, and once a named surgical specialty replaces the retired "Surgeons, All Other" gap. The process that corrected pathologists by roughly 10 composite points, from a prestige-halo estimate of 86.3 down to a verified 75.8, is the methodology, not an accident. Making our own estimation errors visible and correctable is what an open dataset is for. Critiques, alternative weighting proposals, and replication attempts are welcome.
Ronald, the laid-off operations manager from the open of this piece, sorted the dataset by Inductive Reasoning, filtered for jobs paying above $90,000 without requiring a new graduate degree, and shortlisted operations research analyst, logistician, and emergency management director. He didn't need a fantasy career match. He needed a defensible map. The CDI gave him three filterable shortlists by Friday, not a verdict but a starting point grounded in data, the kind we walk through in our cognitive career match guide. For readers who want to run the same exercise against their own profile, the Career IQ Matcher maps cognitive strengths to occupational fits, and IQ-matched job listings pair that logic with real openings.
For the longer-running questions (how cognitive demand maps to specific career profiles, how subscores predict role fit, and how to read your own cognitive profile against career data), there is more on the scoring and methodology shelf.
oesm25nat/national_M2025_dl.xlsx), released 30 April 2026. bls.gov/oesFifteen minutes, free to take, no sign-up to start. Your band and strongest domain stay free.
The article explains the idea; these measure it.